We are nearing the end of our Preview & Prediction series, as it's time to take a look at a late season match-up with Texas Tech.
LAST YEARÂ Â
There was certainly hope early for Texas Tech. Despite a season-opening loss to Ole Miss the Red Raiders were 5-2 seven games into the year, including an impressive 41-17 win at then No. 15 Oklahoma State.
Kliff Kingsbury's program couldn't sustain the success, however.
Tech lost its final five games of the season (a 21-6 loss to K-State the fourth of those five straight defeats) and missed a bowl game. It cost Kingsbury his job. It's worth noting, though, Kingsbury parlayed getting fired in Lubbock to a head coaching job in the NFL with the Arizona Cardinals.
WHO ARE THEY?  Â
They'll be different; I'm confident of that.
New coach Matt Wells isn't going to take Tech back to the stone age, but the Red Raiders will likely focus more on defense and occasionally a more physical style on offense.
Early on, though, Tech may be wise to lean on some of its previous offensive strengths. Kingsbury's bunch built for a spread, and sophomore quarterback Alan Bowman is a great fit for that system.
Bowman hit just less than 70 percent of his throws last season while throwing for 2,638 yards and 17 scores despite missing a significant portion of the season due to injury. Bowman's best outing was in a win over Houston, in which he threw for 605 yards (SIX HUNDRED AND FIVE) and five scores with no interceptions.
Bowman has a chance to be a great piece to help Wells transition Tech from its past to what Wells hopes it can be.
WHO TO WATCH? Â
I've already told you about Bowman, so let's look at wide receiver T.J. Vasher here, instead.
Vasher was a major big-play threat two years ago, averaging 18.8 yards a catch and scoring on six of his 29 receptions. A year ago the 6-foot-6 junior was still a factor, but he wasn't the monster I projected him to be. Vasher ended the year with 54 catches for 687 yards (12.7 yards per catch), seven scores and a long reception of 37 yards.
I think Vasher may be more the player he flashed as a sophomore than during his junior season, and if Bowman stays healthy throughout the year I could easily see a 1,000-yard receiving season.
K-STATE WINS BECAUSE...    Â
Well, the Wildcats handled Tech in Manhattan a year ago. Yes, the programs are completely different now, but there's obviously a great deal of roster carry over. The game last year did not feel competitive, and it was the only time in Big 12 play I felt like the Wildcats physically controlled a conference foe. It's not crazy to project the Wildcats would have a better team than Tech again - specific for this match-up - in 2019.
K-STATE LOSES BECAUSE... Â
I really, really like Bowman, and I think Lubbock is one of the sneaky hardest places to play in the Big 12. The Wildcats have had success against Tech recently, no doubt, but Wells impresses me. I think the offensive weaponry inherited, combined with a greater emphasis on defense, should make for an awfully challenging late-season road game.
***PRESEASON PREDICTION: Texas Tech 31, K-State 27***Â Â Â Â
This loss, and the earlier projected home loss to TCU, were the most difficult decisions I had to make on this series throughout the process. It's easy to make arguments for K-State in that game, or in this one. Ultimately, though, I feel Tech has a little more as far as proven play-makers and gets to play at home, leaving me taking them it what may feel like a heart-breaker.
If the season plays out how I've projected, it leaves the season-finale with Iowa State in Manhattan needed to secure a sixth win and bowl berth.
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